Hurricane Prediction Season is Here...You probably can guess just as well.

19-Jun-2015
Ever wonder how so many different agencies can predict the weather so poorly and yet be absolutely certain when it comes to 100 years from now?
...............................
NOAA's Atlantic hurricane season forecast agrees with earlier forecasts of a season with fewer named storms than historical averages in 2015.

NOAA, which released its forecast Wednesday, calls for a 70 percent likelihood of:

- 6-11 named storms (including May's Tropical Storm Ana)
- 3-6 of which would become hurricanes
- 0-2 major hurricanes – those of at least Category 3 strength on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.

This is below the 30-year average of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

The NOAA forecast is consistent with The Weather Channel forecast, which also predicted below-average activity, of:

- 9 named storms
- 5 hurricanes
- 1 major hurricane
Colorado State University (CSU) forecast issued June 1 called for eight named storms, including three hurricanes, one of which is predicted to attain major hurricane status. (The Weather Channel)